5.
A doctor is to visit a patient. From the past experience it is known that the probabilities of the doctor coming by train, bus, scooter or taxi are 1/10, 1/5, 3/10, and 2/5 respectively. The probabilities that he will be late are ¼,1/3, and 1/12 if he comes by train, bus or scooter respectively but by taxi he will not be late. When he arrives he is late. What is the probability that he came by bus?